I know very little about the climate, geology, the sun, space, oceanography… I know very little about very many things. Fortunately my profound ignorance matters little. I am not in any position to make public policy, establish budgets for research or government spending, evaluate the findings of professionals, etc. I barely know whether I should wear a jacket during much of the year, and I am often wrong in my choices. My ignorance influences only myself and only a small amount. This is fortunate, because if I was in charge of things the potential for grave error would be unacceptably large.
At the same time, I know a little bit about how science works, how people behave in groups, the difference between consulting and trusting authorities, and a few more things. Most importantly, I know how to teach myself new information: ask questions, then ask more questions. When it comes to climate change, I’m still asking questions. I and everyone who matters agrees that the climate changes, and that it has some patterns of change. When sunlight is blocked during the rotation of the Earth, temperatures drop. As the Earth rotates on its axis and orbits the sun, seasons occur. I hope we are all in agreement with what I’ve claimed so far. There seems to be longer patterns of climate change, some older than humanity. These longer patterns seem to be influenced by solar activity, can occur rapidly and have nothing at all to do with humanity.
Small Fluctuations In Solar Activity, Large Influence On Climate: Subtle connections between the 11-year solar cycle, the stratosphere, and the tropical Pacific Ocean work in sync to generate periodic weather patterns that affect much of the globe [...] Chemicals in the stratosphere and sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean respond during solar maximum in a way that amplifies the Sun’s influence on some aspects of air movement. This can intensify winds and rainfall, change sea surface temperatures and cloud cover over certain tropical and subtropical regions, and ultimately influence global weather.
Sunlight Has More Powerful Influence On Ocean Circulation And Climate Than North American Ice Sheets: The distribution of sunlight, rather than the size of North American ice sheets, is the key variable in changes in the North Atlantic deep-water formation during the last four glacial cycles. The new study goes back 425,000 years.
Tracking Down Abrupt Climate Changes – Rapid Natural Cooling Occurred 12,700 Years Ago: Researchers in Germany, Switzerland, and the United States have shown, for the first time, that an extremely fast climate change occurred in Western Europe. This took place long before human-made changes in the atmosphere, and is causatively associated with a sudden change in the wind systems.
Where I and many others part ways is how much (if at all) human activity is influencing climate change. I lean toward the claim that humanity has had little if any influence on climate change, but I could be wrong. Any claim that gives humanity a special place in the world, that speaks of our wickedness spawned by our cleverness, that imagines a primal perfect state, that offers a single-bullet theory as to the planet’s calamities, that is offered as a complex argument when it is in reality a catch phrase, any claim such as these pushes my superstition button. I’m confident that models of climate prediction are offered as tentative by the scientists that present them and as gospel fact by the masses that read them. I’m confident that the best minds and resources on the planet are still wrong most of the time when it comes to predicting next month’s weather, much less the next hundred years. The literature of climate studies is likely larger than I or anyone could take in during a lifetime, and even specializing in humanity’s possible influence during the past few hundred years would mandate being a professional. I don’t know what’s going on, I’m asking questions, and I hope you’ll keep asking questions too. When global warming is offered as an explanation for why glaciers are melting, ask why global warming can also be an explanation for glaciers growing. When global warming is offered as a danger to living things, ask why it can be a boon.
Mysterious Glaciers That Grew When Asia Heated Up: Ice, when heated, is supposed to melt. That’s why a collection of glaciers in the Southeast Himalayas stymies those who know what they did 9,000 years ago. While most other Central Asian glaciers retreated under hotter summer temperatures, this group of glaciers advanced from one to six kilometers. [...] As Central Asia’s summer climate warmed as much as 6 degrees Celsius, shifting weather patterns brought more clouds to the Southeast Himalayas. The additional shade created a pocket of cooler temperatures. Temperatures also dropped when higher winds spurred more evaporation in this typically humid area, the same process behind household swamp coolers.
Climate Change, Acid Rain Could Be Good For Forests: After more than 20 years of research in the northern hardwood forests of Michigan, scientists at Michigan Technological University’s School of Forest Resources and Environmental Science have reached a surprising conclusion: Moderate increases in temperature and nitrogen from atmospheric pollution actually improve forest productivity.
Climate focus ‘good news for species’: Climate change could actually benefit some of the world’s most endangered species, says Conservation International president Russell Mittermeier. He explains that conservationists should capitalise on the worldwide attention being given to global warming.
I’m not advocating that you wait until we have the final answer about what’s going on and what to do before you do anything. But I do think we can advocate a more efficient industrialized planet (cleaner and cheaper is a good start) entirely without global warming. Spending less on transportation is its own reward, as are cleaner air and water. We can try to make the world a better place because humans are wonderful and we like wonderful things. No nee for a boogieman of global warming or an overestimation of our importance in the world. These can only distract from attempted solutions to real problems, of which we have more than enough.